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Red117
95533.0
498036.1
125835.6
Blue103
214732.1
321927.2
290733.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10192406080120140160117103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4980
#44
36.11.4
33.634.9
Auto9.8
Teleop15.0
End11.3
red by 2.3
2907
#29
33.80.5
33.133.6
Auto10.2
Teleop18.4
End5.1
Second
1258
#10
35.61.4
33.735.0
Auto11.4
Teleop17.6
End6.6
red by 3.5
2147
#35
32.10.5
32.533.0
Auto11.3
Teleop15.2
End5.6
Third
955
#7
33.01.4
29.430.8
Auto8.4
Teleop20.1
End4.6
red by 5.8
3219
#31
27.20.5
25.125.6
Auto6.2
Teleop16.4
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned4%Capture oddsMissed