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Red114
131842.2
420526.0
367436.4
Blue99
255741.6
594238.0
407722.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110104020030040050011499

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.20.5
43.443.0
Auto11.1
Teleop26.7
End4.4
red by 0.6
2557
#15
41.60.2
42.442.1
Auto7.6
Teleop24.2
End9.8
Second
3674
#46
36.40.5
32.832.3
Auto7.8
Teleop23.1
End5.5
blue by 1.6
5942
#37
38.00.2
35.935.7
Auto8.2
Teleop23.7
End6.1
Third
4205
#57
26.00.5
29.929.5
Auto7.6
Teleop14.6
End3.8
red by 3.1
4077
#59
22.90.2
24.123.8
Auto7.4
Teleop10.9
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
11%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed