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Red74
75330.5
371131.2
546829.6
Blue113
142542.1
292831.3
293031.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9411040608010012014016074113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3711
#53
31.21.6
32.030.4
Auto10.4
Teleop16.3
End4.5
blue by 10.9
42.10.3
43.944.2
Auto7.8
Teleop20.7
End13.6
Second
753
#22
30.51.6
31.029.4
Auto8.0
Teleop17.5
End5.1
blue by 0.8
2928
#45
31.30.3
29.229.5
Auto9.3
Teleop16.9
End5.1
Third
5468
#61
29.61.6
30.328.7
Auto9.9
Teleop16.1
End3.6
blue by 1.6
2930
#33
31.20.3
31.131.3
Auto9.5
Teleop16.1
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
11%Capture oddsMissed32%Capture oddsEarned