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Red119
405736.9
406136.3
198343.9
Blue106
263524.9
448843.5
290733.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121105406080140160180119106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.90.4
42.441.9
Auto12.6
Teleop17.5
End13.9
red by 0.4
4488
#11
43.50.2
44.444.1
Auto12.4
Teleop24.6
End6.5
Second
4057
#41
36.90.4
35.435.0
Auto7.5
Teleop24.5
End4.9
red by 3.1
2907
#29
33.80.2
34.334.1
Auto10.2
Teleop18.4
End5.1
Third
4061
#25
36.30.4
37.537.1
Auto11.1
Teleop19.2
End6.0
red by 11.4
2635
#62
24.90.2
26.025.8
Auto7.5
Teleop13.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
22%Capture oddsEarned21%Capture oddsEarned