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Red103
323843.6
545033.3
582722.5
Blue96
366337.2
214732.1
508525.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104104969810010210610396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3238
#23
43.60.1
45.846.0
Auto9.0
Teleop29.7
End4.9
red by 6.4
3663
#56
37.21.0
38.737.7
Auto10.6
Teleop21.8
End4.7
Second
5450
#19
33.30.1
34.334.5
Auto7.3
Teleop20.0
End6.1
red by 1.3
2147
#35
32.11.0
34.433.4
Auto11.3
Teleop15.2
End5.6
Third
5827
#54
22.50.1
20.921.0
Auto8.8
Teleop10.8
End3.0
blue by 3.2
5085
#47
25.71.0
28.027.0
Auto9.3
Teleop13.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
26%Capture oddsEarned4%Capture oddsMissed