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Red105
408928.5
237436.8
498036.1
Blue97
597030.2
299035.0
558827.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1018840608012014016010597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2374
#26
36.80.6
33.133.7
Auto10.1
Teleop22.5
End4.1
red by 1.8
2990
#51
35.00.7
33.934.6
Auto10.1
Teleop19.4
End5.5
Second
4980
#44
36.10.6
35.436.0
Auto9.8
Teleop15.0
End11.3
red by 5.9
5970
#48
30.20.7
24.725.4
Auto8.6
Teleop17.3
End4.3
Third
4089
#13
28.50.6
27.628.2
Auto8.2
Teleop15.8
End4.4
red by 1.0
5588
#40
27.50.7
28.429.1
Auto8.9
Teleop13.4
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsMissed14%Capture oddsEarned