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Red95
382635.3
281129.2
412530.4
Blue91
413225.2
302438.0
322326.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107862040601201401601809591

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3826
#42
35.30.4
37.737.3
Auto10.9
Teleop19.4
End5.0
blue by 2.6
3024
#30
38.00.3
35.235.5
Auto8.6
Teleop23.7
End5.6
Second
4125
#38
30.40.4
32.732.3
Auto9.6
Teleop16.7
End4.0
red by 3.7
3223
#34
26.70.3
26.026.3
Auto9.6
Teleop12.2
End4.9
Third
2811
#63
29.20.4
30.330.0
Auto6.4
Teleop17.9
End5.0
red by 4.0
4132
#52
25.20.3
25.425.7
Auto9.0
Teleop12.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsEarned4%Capture oddsMissed