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Red89
247142.5
291033.8
214923.1
Blue67
321927.2
378725.2
294428.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103812040601201401608967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2471
#24
42.50.5
42.842.3
Auto14.4
Teleop21.6
End6.5
red by 13.6
2944
#43
28.91.0
28.427.4
Auto8.4
Teleop16.4
End4.1
Second
2910
#21
33.80.5
30.529.9
Auto8.2
Teleop16.9
End8.7
red by 6.6
3219
#31
27.21.0
26.425.4
Auto6.2
Teleop16.4
End4.5
Third
2149
#50
23.10.5
23.523.0
Auto10.7
Teleop10.7
End1.7
blue by 2.1
3787
#49
25.21.0
27.126.1
Auto8.9
Teleop12.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
13%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed