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Red105
263524.9
298031.1
255741.6
Blue72
549533.6
508525.7
151025.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1028640608012014016010572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2557
#15
41.60.5
42.142.7
Auto7.6
Teleop24.2
End9.8
red by 8.0
5495
#20
33.61.0
33.332.3
Auto10.4
Teleop18.5
End4.7
Second
2980
#17
31.10.5
29.129.7
Auto6.7
Teleop20.1
End4.3
red by 5.5
5085
#47
25.71.0
27.026.0
Auto9.3
Teleop13.0
End3.4
Third
2635
#62
24.90.5
25.826.3
Auto7.5
Teleop13.6
End3.8
blue by 0.3
1510
#64
25.21.0
26.125.1
Auto6.6
Teleop15.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned3%Capture oddsMissed