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Red80
545033.3
420526.0
159536.4
Blue122
293031.2
154048.5
408928.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101112608012014016080122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1595
#32
36.41.3
36.034.6
Auto11.4
Teleop18.4
End6.6
blue by 12.1
48.50.3
47.547.8
Auto11.2
Teleop31.4
End5.9
Second
5450
#19
33.31.3
34.533.2
Auto7.3
Teleop20.0
End6.1
red by 2.1
2930
#33
31.20.3
31.331.6
Auto9.5
Teleop16.1
End5.5
Third
4205
#57
26.01.3
29.528.1
Auto7.6
Teleop14.6
End3.8
blue by 2.4
4089
#13
28.50.3
28.228.5
Auto8.2
Teleop15.8
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
33%Capture oddsMissed36%Capture oddsMissed