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Red104
546829.6
382635.3
142542.1
Blue140
445041.1
131842.2
448843.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1091376080100120160180200104140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.10.4
44.243.8
Auto7.8
Teleop20.7
End13.6
blue by 1.4
4488
#11
43.50.7
44.144.9
Auto12.4
Teleop24.6
End6.5
Second
3826
#42
35.30.4
37.336.9
Auto10.9
Teleop19.4
End5.0
blue by 6.9
42.20.7
43.043.7
Auto11.1
Teleop26.7
End4.4
Third
5468
#61
29.60.4
28.728.3
Auto9.9
Teleop16.1
End3.6
blue by 11.5
41.10.7
41.942.7
Auto8.4
Teleop24.8
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
11%Capture oddsMissed80%Capture oddsEarned