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Red139
399047.0
561832.9
353318.3
Blue150
591030.0
336038.5
543918.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1231036080140160180200139150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.00.1
47.147.0
Auto9.4
Teleop26.6
End10.9
red by 8.5
38.50.3
38.038.4
Auto10.3
Teleop17.7
End10.5
Second
32.90.1
33.032.8
Auto8.6
Teleop18.6
End5.6
red by 2.9
30.00.4
29.429.8
Auto7.0
Teleop17.9
End5.0
Third
3533
#26
18.30.1
18.418.3
Auto4.7
Teleop10.5
End3.1
red by 0.1
5439
#41
18.20.4
17.518.0
Auto4.9
Teleop9.9
End3.4