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Red149
399047.0
561832.9
353318.3
Blue137
591030.0
336038.5
543918.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1221056080140160180149137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.00.0
47.047.0
Auto9.4
Teleop26.6
End10.9
red by 8.5
38.50.1
38.438.5
Auto10.3
Teleop17.7
End10.5
Second
32.90.0
32.832.9
Auto8.6
Teleop18.6
End5.6
red by 2.9
30.00.2
29.830.0
Auto7.0
Teleop17.9
End5.0
Third
3533
#26
18.30.0
18.318.3
Auto4.7
Teleop10.5
End3.1
red by 0.1
5439
#41
18.20.2
18.018.2
Auto4.9
Teleop9.9
End3.4