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Red117
552628.5
494726.9
398824.9
Blue91
552823.9
544027.2
398119.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1029105015020011791

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.50.1
28.929.0
Auto10.7
Teleop12.9
End4.9
red by 1.2
5440
#11
27.20.2
27.827.6
Auto7.6
Teleop16.6
End3.0
Second
26.90.2
27.527.6
Auto9.0
Teleop13.2
End4.7
red by 3.0
5528
#16
23.90.2
24.524.3
Auto9.4
Teleop10.8
End3.7
Third
3988
#39
24.90.2
25.525.6
Auto11.5
Teleop10.1
End3.3
red by 5.1
3981
#17
19.80.2
20.420.2
Auto7.5
Teleop9.4
End2.9