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Red69
552628.5
494726.9
398824.9
Blue64
552823.9
544027.2
398119.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10391501502006964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.50.3
29.028.7
Auto10.7
Teleop12.9
End4.9
red by 1.2
5440
#11
27.20.4
27.627.2
Auto7.6
Teleop16.6
End3.0
Second
26.90.4
27.627.2
Auto9.0
Teleop13.2
End4.7
red by 3.0
5528
#16
23.90.4
24.323.9
Auto9.4
Teleop10.8
End3.7
Third
3988
#39
24.90.4
25.625.2
Auto11.5
Teleop10.1
End3.3
red by 5.1
3981
#17
19.80.4
20.219.8
Auto7.5
Teleop9.4
End2.9