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Red65
557014.0
398119.8
552628.5
Blue42
544416.3
133414.7
544327.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4950102030406070806542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.50.8
26.327.1
Auto10.7
Teleop12.9
End4.9
red by 1.2
5443
#12
27.30.7
17.717.1
Auto8.8
Teleop14.7
End3.8
Second
3981
#17
19.81.2
14.315.6
Auto7.5
Teleop9.4
End2.9
red by 3.5
5444
#34
16.30.7
15.915.2
Auto2.9
Teleop9.0
End4.3
Third
5570
#33
14.01.2
8.29.5
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End2.1
blue by 0.7
1334
#50
14.70.7
14.313.6
Auto-0.7
Teleop13.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
29%Breach oddsEarned35%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed