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Red67
396917.1
397517.9
398824.9
Blue83
354420.7
336038.5
543918.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions466002040801001206783

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3988
#39
24.91.1
17.418.5
Auto11.5
Teleop10.1
End3.3
blue by 13.6
38.50.5
33.533.9
Auto10.3
Teleop17.7
End10.5
Second
3975
#32
17.91.1
16.517.6
Auto4.2
Teleop10.7
End2.9
blue by 2.9
20.70.8
12.012.8
Auto4.2
Teleop12.9
End3.6
Third
3969
#43
17.11.1
12.914.1
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End1.5
blue by 1.1
5439
#41
18.20.8
10.611.3
Auto4.9
Teleop9.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
29%Breach oddsEarned54%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed