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Red44
552823.9
595213.6
585916.4
Blue55
494726.9
509516.1
495021.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64644050607080904455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5528
#16
23.92.0
24.022.0
Auto9.4
Teleop10.8
End3.7
blue by 3.0
26.91.4
22.621.3
Auto9.0
Teleop13.2
End4.7
Second
5859
#36
16.42.0
19.617.6
Auto5.6
Teleop7.6
End3.2
blue by 4.6
4950
#30
21.01.4
21.920.5
Auto9.2
Teleop10.3
End1.5
Third
5952
#47
13.62.0
18.616.6
Auto0.8
Teleop9.5
End3.3
blue by 2.4
5095
#27
16.11.4
17.816.4
Auto2.4
Teleop10.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsMissed52%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed