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Red29
398619.9
338715.2
396917.1
Blue106
495722.3
399627.1
399047.0
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4499020608012014016029106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3986
#20
19.91.5
21.219.8
Auto4.0
Teleop13.0
End3.0
blue by 27.1
47.00.5
44.845.4
Auto9.4
Teleop26.6
End10.9
Second
3969
#43
17.12.4
14.111.6
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End1.5
blue by 10.0
3996
#15
27.10.9
24.225.1
Auto6.2
Teleop16.8
End4.1
Third
3387
#37
15.22.4
15.513.1
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End2.4
blue by 7.1
4957
#25
22.30.9
18.819.7
Auto4.3
Teleop12.7
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsMissed75%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed