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Red69
311728.1
397517.9
354420.7
Blue93
604020.2
400138.9
29630.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5486020401001201406993

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3117
#21
28.10.5
26.326.8
Auto8.0
Teleop15.5
End4.7
blue by 10.8
4001
#10
38.90.6
34.334.9
Auto10.9
Teleop19.4
End8.6
Second
20.70.8
15.115.9
Auto4.2
Teleop12.9
End3.6
blue by 9.9
296
#6
30.60.6
28.028.6
Auto8.9
Teleop14.2
End7.5
Third
3975
#32
17.90.8
15.616.3
Auto4.2
Teleop10.7
End2.9
blue by 2.3
6040
#28
20.21.0
16.817.8
Auto3.0
Teleop13.2
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
63%Breach oddsEarned73%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed