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Red73
338715.2
552823.9
544027.2
Blue37
557014.0
495224.3
585916.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66480204060801001207337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5440
#11
27.20.4
26.726.3
Auto7.6
Teleop16.6
End3.0
red by 3.0
4952
#31
24.31.4
22.120.7
Auto6.5
Teleop12.5
End5.2
Second
5528
#16
23.90.4
22.021.6
Auto9.4
Teleop10.8
End3.7
red by 7.6
5859
#36
16.41.4
17.616.2
Auto5.6
Teleop7.6
End3.2
Third
3387
#37
15.20.4
13.112.7
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End2.4
red by 1.2
5570
#33
14.01.4
10.18.7
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsEarned50%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed