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Red78
494726.9
552628.5
543918.2
Blue71
595213.6
315829.5
398515.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69622040801007871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.50.8
29.330.1
Auto10.7
Teleop12.9
End4.9
blue by 1.0
3158
#13
29.50.7
29.929.2
Auto7.1
Teleop17.4
End4.9
Second
26.91.4
21.322.6
Auto9.0
Teleop13.2
End4.7
red by 11.3
3985
#38
15.71.1
14.913.8
Auto3.1
Teleop10.4
End2.1
Third
5439
#41
18.21.3
15.116.4
Auto4.9
Teleop9.9
End3.4
red by 4.5
5952
#47
13.61.2
16.615.4
Auto0.8
Teleop9.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
50%Breach oddsEarned36%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed