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Red64
449120.8
133414.7
494216.4
Blue86
552823.9
495224.3
397517.9
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48660204060801001206486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4491
#40
20.81.0
19.820.8
Auto5.7
Teleop10.1
End5.0
blue by 3.5
4952
#31
24.31.9
22.424.3
Auto6.5
Teleop12.5
End5.2
Second
4942
#24
16.41.0
15.416.4
Auto5.6
Teleop9.1
End1.7
blue by 7.5
5528
#16
23.91.9
23.024.9
Auto9.4
Teleop10.8
End3.7
Third
1334
#50
14.71.0
13.814.7
Auto-0.7
Teleop13.3
End2.1
blue by 3.1
3975
#32
17.91.9
16.017.9
Auto4.2
Teleop10.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsMissed67%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed