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Red81
452622.6
595213.6
552628.5
Blue85
262625.0
355033.3
555321.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69802040601001201408185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.50.8
30.129.3
Auto10.7
Teleop12.9
End4.9
blue by 4.8
33.30.6
32.633.2
Auto8.8
Teleop17.7
End6.8
Second
4526
#29
22.60.8
23.422.6
Auto7.4
Teleop12.1
End3.0
blue by 2.5
2626
#14
25.00.9
22.923.8
Auto7.9
Teleop13.3
End3.8
Third
5952
#47
13.61.2
14.813.6
Auto0.8
Teleop9.5
End3.3
blue by 7.4
5553
#23
21.00.9
20.221.0
Auto5.1
Teleop11.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
50%Breach oddsMissed77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed