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Red115
12536.9
19031.2
584621.9
Blue108
105839.0
22830.9
615323.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116116100110120130140115108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#7
36.90.1
37.637.7
Auto11.5
Teleop20.7
End4.7
blue by 2.1
39.00.1
39.138.9
Auto9.0
Teleop18.7
End11.3
Second
190
#1
31.20.1
31.932.0
Auto8.8
Teleop16.2
End6.2
red by 0.3
228
#2
30.90.1
30.930.8
Auto7.4
Teleop19.2
End4.3
Third
5846
#26
21.90.1
22.622.7
Auto8.9
Teleop9.9
End3.1
blue by 1.6
6153
#24
23.60.1
23.623.5
Auto9.4
Teleop11.8
End2.4