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Red111
206733.0
173531.1
476127.7
Blue87
206432.7
135025.6
409722.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118955015020011187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.00.0
33.133.1
Auto12.8
Teleop15.9
End4.4
red by 0.3
2064
#10
32.70.0
32.732.7
Auto10.7
Teleop9.2
End12.8
Second
31.10.0
31.231.2
Auto12.9
Teleop12.2
End5.9
red by 5.4
25.60.0
25.625.6
Auto11.1
Teleop10.3
End4.2
Third
4761
#22
27.70.0
27.827.8
Auto7.0
Teleop15.1
End5.6
red by 4.9
4097
#17
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto6.2
Teleop13.8
End2.8