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Red85
226221.9
404833.3
173531.1
Blue72
416921.1
476127.7
511231.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74652040801001201408572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.31.0
27.028.0
Auto7.1
Teleop21.5
End4.7
red by 2.3
31.00.2
23.223.4
Auto10.8
Teleop16.8
End3.4
Second
31.11.0
25.626.5
Auto12.9
Teleop12.2
End5.9
red by 3.3
4761
#22
27.70.2
25.225.4
Auto7.0
Teleop15.1
End5.6
Third
2262
#25
21.91.6
17.819.4
Auto7.6
Teleop12.1
End2.2
red by 0.8
4169
#20
21.10.2
16.216.4
Auto8.6
Teleop9.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
61%Breach oddsEarned58%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed