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Red27
516313.9
447327.7
174015.2
Blue75
206733.0
197315.5
431123.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions516402040801002775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4473
#15
27.71.7
24.723.0
Auto9.2
Teleop14.0
End4.4
blue by 5.3
33.00.9
28.028.9
Auto12.8
Teleop15.9
End4.4
Second
1740
#34
15.22.8
15.612.8
Auto1.6
Teleop12.3
End1.3
blue by 8.2
4311
#13
23.40.9
20.421.3
Auto10.9
Teleop9.4
End3.1
Third
5163
#30
13.91.7
11.810.1
Auto3.9
Teleop7.2
End2.7
blue by 1.6
1973
#27
15.50.9
12.713.6
Auto4.0
Teleop11.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
29%Breach oddsMissed58%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed