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Red67
416921.1
135025.6
226221.9
Blue109
19031.2
264828.1
175722.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6382204010012067109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.2
23.623.8
Auto11.1
Teleop10.3
End4.2
blue by 5.6
190
#1
31.20.5
28.428.9
Auto8.8
Teleop16.2
End6.2
Second
2262
#25
21.90.3
20.621.0
Auto7.6
Teleop12.1
End2.2
blue by 6.2
2648
#16
28.10.5
29.029.4
Auto10.9
Teleop13.6
End3.6
Third
4169
#20
21.10.2
19.820.0
Auto8.6
Teleop9.6
End3.0
blue by 1.6
1757
#32
22.80.8
19.720.5
Auto6.2
Teleop12.1
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
62%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed