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Red60
431123.4
617214.7
127731.4
Blue125
516313.9
595820.5
173531.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7254020408010012014060125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1277
#14
31.40.5
32.031.4
Auto11.3
Teleop15.3
End4.8
red by 0.3
31.13.3
29.532.9
Auto12.9
Teleop12.2
End5.9
Second
4311
#13
23.40.5
21.621.1
Auto10.9
Teleop9.4
End3.1
red by 2.9
5958
#21
20.53.3
15.418.7
Auto5.9
Teleop11.3
End3.3
Third
6172
#33
14.70.9
14.413.5
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End0.3
red by 0.8
5163
#30
13.93.3
10.213.6
Auto3.9
Teleop7.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned36%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed