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Red101
22830.9
409722.8
476127.7
Blue99
151723.2
206432.7
105839.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8192406010012014010199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
#2
30.90.4
30.630.9
Auto7.4
Teleop19.2
End4.3
blue by 8.1
39.00.7
36.337.0
Auto9.0
Teleop18.7
End11.3
Second
4761
#22
27.70.4
28.528.8
Auto7.0
Teleop15.1
End5.6
blue by 5.0
2064
#10
32.70.7
29.430.1
Auto10.7
Teleop9.2
End12.8
Third
4097
#17
22.80.4
21.521.9
Auto6.2
Teleop13.8
End2.8
blue by 0.4
1517
#28
23.20.7
22.823.5
Auto2.4
Teleop14.5
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed