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Red59
584621.9
371926.1
540016.7
Blue74
622422.1
617214.7
173531.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions627040801001205974

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3719
#23
26.10.2
22.822.6
Auto10.5
Teleop11.9
End3.7
blue by 5.0
31.10.2
32.131.9
Auto12.9
Teleop12.2
End5.9
Second
5846
#26
21.90.2
20.920.7
Auto8.9
Teleop9.9
End3.1
blue by 0.2
6224
#18
22.10.3
19.819.5
Auto8.5
Teleop9.4
End4.2
Third
5400
#29
16.70.2
18.418.2
Auto3.7
Teleop11.6
End1.3
red by 2.0
6172
#33
14.70.3
15.014.7
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach oddsMissed77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed