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Red62
174015.2
617214.7
175722.8
Blue104
173531.1
151723.2
19031.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4392020608010012014062104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1757
#32
22.80.6
21.722.3
Auto6.2
Teleop12.1
End4.5
blue by 8.4
190
#1
31.20.8
29.330.0
Auto8.8
Teleop16.2
End6.2
Second
1740
#34
15.20.6
14.415.0
Auto1.6
Teleop12.3
End1.3
blue by 15.9
31.10.8
31.131.9
Auto12.9
Teleop12.2
End5.9
Third
6172
#33
14.70.6
13.313.9
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End0.3
blue by 8.5
1517
#28
23.20.8
22.223.0
Auto2.4
Teleop14.5
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed