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Red120
127731.4
176831.6
12536.9
Blue83
409722.8
371926.1
264828.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105702040608012014016012083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#7
36.91.7
35.437.1
Auto11.5
Teleop20.7
End4.7
red by 8.7
2648
#16
28.10.7
27.828.5
Auto10.9
Teleop13.6
End3.6
Second
1768
#12
31.61.7
29.831.5
Auto9.7
Teleop14.6
End7.3
red by 5.5
3719
#23
26.10.7
23.924.5
Auto10.5
Teleop11.9
End3.7
Third
1277
#14
31.41.7
29.331.0
Auto11.3
Teleop15.3
End4.8
red by 8.6
4097
#17
22.80.7
21.422.1
Auto6.2
Teleop13.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned60%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed