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Red63
516313.9
22830.9
495816.7
Blue67
431123.4
511231.0
622422.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions608020401001206367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
#2
30.90.2
31.231.0
Auto7.4
Teleop19.2
End4.3
blue by 0.1
31.00.5
29.629.1
Auto10.8
Teleop16.8
End3.4
Second
4958
#36
16.70.3
16.316.0
Auto5.2
Teleop9.6
End1.9
blue by 6.7
4311
#13
23.40.5
23.623.0
Auto10.9
Teleop9.4
End3.1
Third
5163
#30
13.90.2
13.813.6
Auto3.9
Teleop7.2
End2.7
blue by 8.2
6224
#18
22.10.6
21.721.1
Auto8.5
Teleop9.4
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
53%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed