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Red79
516823.4
299223.0
399132.2
Blue95
408724.0
384733.9
361624.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80860501001502002503007995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto6.9
Teleop19.9
End5.4
blue by 1.8
33.90.0
33.933.9
Auto9.2
Teleop19.8
End5.0
Second
5168
#18
23.40.0
23.423.4
Auto4.7
Teleop15.0
End3.7
blue by 1.0
3616
#14
24.40.0
24.424.4
Auto7.3
Teleop13.5
End3.6
Third
23.00.0
23.023.0
Auto7.3
Teleop12.7
End3.0
blue by 1.0
24.00.0
24.024.0
Auto6.7
Teleop16.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach odds64%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds4%Capture odds