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Red62
586419.3
433615.5
410713.9
Blue130
208017.8
458753.6
222118.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41101015020062130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.30.0
19.319.3
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End2.9
blue by 34.2
53.60.0
53.653.6
Auto13.5
Teleop35.7
End4.3
Second
4336
#12
15.50.0
15.515.5
Auto2.9
Teleop10.1
End2.5
blue by 2.9
2221
#11
18.40.0
18.418.4
Auto5.6
Teleop9.6
End3.2
Third
4107
#21
13.90.0
13.913.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.6
End3.3
blue by 3.9
2080
#17
17.80.0
17.817.8
Auto6.6
Teleop8.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
32%Breach odds83%Breach odds
Capture
0%Capture odds4%Capture odds