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Red106
191231.2
384733.9
222118.4
Blue102
399132.2
361624.4
433615.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8872050100150200106102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.90.0
33.933.9
Auto9.2
Teleop19.8
End5.0
red by 1.8
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto6.9
Teleop19.9
End5.4
Second
31.20.0
31.231.2
Auto8.9
Teleop17.7
End4.6
red by 6.8
3616
#14
24.40.0
24.424.4
Auto7.3
Teleop13.5
End3.6
Third
2221
#11
18.40.0
18.418.4
Auto5.6
Teleop9.6
End3.2
red by 2.9
4336
#12
15.50.0
15.515.5
Auto2.9
Teleop10.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach odds67%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds1%Capture odds