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Red38
408724.0
394617.5
589214.2
Blue75
299223.0
192725.7
420913.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions566501002003004005006007008003875

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.00.0
24.024.0
Auto6.7
Teleop16.1
End1.3
blue by 1.7
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto4.2
Teleop18.0
End3.5
Second
3946
#16
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto2.3
Teleop13.2
End2.0
blue by 5.4
23.00.0
23.023.0
Auto7.3
Teleop12.7
End3.0
Third
5892
#22
14.20.0
14.214.2
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End1.3
red by 1.2
4209
#19
13.00.0
13.013.0
Auto4.2
Teleop6.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach odds72%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds0%Capture odds