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Qual 112016 Palmetto Regional
Red70
175822.7
382438.5
496520.0
Blue25
531712.5
490112.4
155321.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69470204060801001207025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3824
#7
38.50.7
31.8→32.5
Auto9.8
Teleop23.1
End5.5
red by 17.2
1553
#36
21.32.7
16.4→13.7
Auto4.5
Teleop13.3
End3.6
Second
1758
#3
22.70.7
18.1→18.8
Auto6.1
Teleop14.4
End2.2
red by 10.2
5317
#58
12.52.7
16.4→13.7
Auto4.4
Teleop5.9
End2.2
Third
4965
#21
20.00.7
13.9→14.6
Auto4.7
Teleop12.7
End2.6
red by 7.7
4901
#51
12.42.7
16.3→13.6
Auto0.2
Teleop9.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
46%Breach oddsEarned33%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed