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Qual 122016 Palmetto Regional
Red65
484714.7
239334.0
409813.4
Blue50
128723.0
499218.5
426524.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions506702040801001201406550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2393
#13
34.01.5
22.6→24.1
Auto6.9
Teleop20.7
End6.4
red by 9.7
4265
#34
24.31.4
26.2→24.8
Auto4.6
Teleop16.4
End3.2
Second
4847
#57
14.71.5
13.5→15.0
Auto5.1
Teleop7.0
End2.5
blue by 8.3
1287
#22
23.01.4
18.3→16.9
Auto9.8
Teleop8.7
End4.4
Third
4098
#42
13.41.5
15.3→16.8
Auto3.8
Teleop6.9
End2.6
blue by 5.1
4992
#37
18.51.4
17.9→16.6
Auto5.1
Teleop10.2
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsMissed45%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed