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Red40
531712.5
110226.9
426712.9
Blue69
217224.4
136919.2
129629.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions417002060801001201401604069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1102
#18
26.90.5
18.217.7
Auto7.8
Teleop14.8
End4.3
blue by 2.6
29.50.6
29.129.6
Auto8.4
Teleop16.5
End4.6
Second
4267
#50
12.90.5
12.612.1
Auto0.7
Teleop10.3
End1.9
blue by 11.5
24.40.6
20.020.6
Auto7.8
Teleop12.8
End3.7
Third
5317
#58
12.50.5
13.713.2
Auto4.4
Teleop5.9
End2.2
blue by 6.8
1369
#28
19.20.6
14.715.3
Auto4.4
Teleop11.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsMissed52%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed