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Red40
62229.6
218720.0
238627.5
Blue44
502215.6
255623.3
490112.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594802040801001204044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2386
#24
27.51.8
20.018.3
Auto9.0
Teleop12.0
End6.5
red by 4.2
2556
#46
23.31.6
20.218.7
Auto4.9
Teleop13.2
End5.2
Second
2187
#49
20.01.8
21.820.1
Auto2.7
Teleop11.9
End5.4
red by 4.4
5022
#26
15.61.6
14.212.7
Auto6.7
Teleop6.7
End2.2
Third
6222
#62
9.61.8
14.112.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.0
End1.2
blue by 2.8
4901
#51
12.41.6
13.612.0
Auto0.2
Teleop9.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
39%Breach oddsMissed28%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed