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Qual 232016 Palmetto Regional
Red40
541019.1
409813.4
532713.5
Blue27
482315.6
407416.2
502015.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50492030406070804027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5410
#19Sur
19.10.9
20.2→19.3
Auto6.1
Teleop10.5
End2.5
red by 2.8
4074
#64
16.22.4
15.4→13.0
Auto1.5
Teleop12.3
End2.5
Second
5327
#35
13.50.9
10.9→10.0
Auto3.4
Teleop6.9
End3.2
blue by 2.1
4823
#12Sur
15.62.4
18.2→15.7
Auto2.1
Teleop10.1
End3.5
Third
4098
#42
13.40.9
16.8→15.9
Auto3.8
Teleop6.9
End2.6
blue by 1.9
5020
#59
15.32.4
15.3→12.9
Auto3.2
Teleop8.2
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsMissed20%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed