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Red12
408310.2
153921.6
490218.6
Blue57
175822.7
281526.2
458217.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475301001502001257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1539
#38
21.63.9
16.712.9
Auto2.7
Teleop14.7
End4.3
blue by 4.6
2815
#17
26.20.7
14.915.6
Auto6.8
Teleop14.6
End4.9
Second
4902
#39
18.63.9
16.412.5
Auto9.0
Teleop6.9
End2.8
blue by 4.1
1758
#3Sur
22.70.7
20.120.8
Auto6.1
Teleop14.4
End2.2
Third
4083
#56Sur
10.23.9
13.89.9
Auto3.1
Teleop6.5
End0.5
blue by 7.2
4582
#41
17.40.7
15.716.4
Auto6.5
Teleop9.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsMissed25%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed