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Qual 302016 Palmetto Regional
Red78
382438.5
490112.4
217224.4
Blue70
540918.4
348924.4
513016.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68500204060801001207870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3824
#7
38.51.6
31.0→32.6
Auto9.8
Teleop23.1
End5.5
red by 14.0
3489
#32
24.42.1
17.3→19.4
Auto8.0
Teleop12.5
End4.0
Second
2172
#5
24.41.6
20.6→22.2
Auto7.8
Teleop12.8
End3.7
red by 5.9
5409
#33
18.42.1
22.1→24.1
Auto3.6
Teleop10.3
End4.6
Third
4901
#51
12.41.6
12.0→13.6
Auto0.2
Teleop9.8
End2.4
blue by 4.5
5130
#55
16.92.1
12.1→14.2
Auto3.1
Teleop9.4
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
50%Breach oddsEarned18%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed