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Qual 312016 Palmetto Regional
Red71
238627.5
496520.0
616720.0
Blue55
589814.6
426712.9
445137.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4465020801001201407155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2386
#24
27.52.8
18.3→21.1
Auto9.0
Teleop12.0
End6.5
blue by 9.6
4451
#4
37.10.6
33.1→32.6
Auto11.2
Teleop21.3
End4.6
Second
4965
#21
20.02.8
14.6→17.4
Auto4.7
Teleop12.7
End2.6
red by 5.4
5898
#43
14.60.6
15.1→14.5
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End3.8
Third
6167
#44
20.02.8
12.9→15.7
Auto8.0
Teleop8.1
End3.9
red by 7.1
4267
#50
12.90.6
12.1→11.5
Auto0.7
Teleop10.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
29%Breach oddsEarned39%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed