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Red77
105116.2
238627.5
239334.0
Blue78
616720.0
474816.6
407327.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67470204060801001207778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2393
#13
34.01.6
25.327.0
Auto6.9
Teleop20.7
End6.4
red by 6.7
4073
#29
27.33.2
20.623.8
Auto8.2
Teleop12.9
End6.1
Second
2386
#24
27.51.6
21.122.7
Auto9.0
Teleop12.0
End6.5
red by 7.5
6167
#44
20.03.2
15.718.9
Auto8.0
Teleop8.1
End3.9
Third
1051
#60
16.21.6
15.817.4
Auto3.7
Teleop11.4
End1.0
blue by 0.4
4748
#52
16.63.2
12.816.0
Auto5.0
Teleop9.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
33%Breach oddsEarned38%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed