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Red35
218720.0
589814.6
401318.3
Blue97
382438.5
187634.7
458217.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions527902040601001201403597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2187
#49
20.02.2
22.920.7
Auto2.7
Teleop11.9
End5.4
blue by 18.5
38.52.7
32.635.2
Auto9.8
Teleop23.1
End5.5
Second
4013
#20
18.32.2
17.615.4
Auto5.8
Teleop8.8
End3.7
blue by 16.4
34.72.7
24.026.7
Auto6.9
Teleop17.5
End10.3
Third
5898
#43
14.62.2
14.512.3
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End3.8
blue by 2.7
4582
#41
17.42.7
16.419.1
Auto6.5
Teleop9.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsMissed42%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed