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Qual 452016 Palmetto Regional
Red72
474816.6
187634.7
513016.9
Blue42
531712.5
409813.4
23721.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58584550556065707242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1876
#8
34.71.1
26.7→27.8
Auto6.9
Teleop17.5
End10.3
red by 12.8
237
#15
21.81.6
26.3→24.7
Auto9.0
Teleop10.0
End2.8
Second
5130
#55
16.91.1
14.1→15.2
Auto3.1
Teleop9.4
End4.4
red by 3.4
4098
#42
13.41.6
16.0→14.4
Auto3.8
Teleop6.9
End2.6
Third
4748
#52
16.61.1
16.0→17.1
Auto5.0
Teleop9.0
End2.6
red by 4.1
5317
#58
12.51.6
14.3→12.7
Auto4.4
Teleop5.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
25%Breach oddsMissed26%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed